Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment
PDNPA (opens new window)
PDNPA (opens new window)
  • Executive Summary
  • Introduction
  • Methodology
  • Special Quality Assessments
    • 1. Beautiful views
    • 2. Wildlife & Habitats
    • 3. Tranquility & Dark night skies
      • Feature assessments
      • Potential impacts
        • Climate projection: Drier summers
          • Effect: Higher visitor numbers
          • Effect: Increased periods of drought
        • Climate projection: Combined effects
          • Effect: Land use change
          • Effect: Increased threat from pathogens and pests
          • Effect: Climate change adaptation and mitigation efforts increase
        • Climate projection: Hotter summers
          • Effect: Higher visitor numbers
        • Climate projection: Increased storm events
          • Effect: Intense rainfall, strong winds, and flooding
    • 4. Landscapes of People
    • 5. Settlements & Communities
    • 6. Adventure & Exploration
    • 7. Vital Benefits
  • Features Assessments
  • Glossary
  • Bibliography
  • Scientific names
  • Appendix

Special quality: Tranquility & Dark night skies

# Potential impacts of climate change

# Climate projection: Drier summers

# Effect: Higher visitor numbers

# Potential impacts:

  • Increased erosion across all landscapes and features, from abandoned places of industry to woodland
  • Litter and wildfire risk on high open moorlands could increase
  • Disturbance of sensitive species, in particular by visitors with dogs
  • Wildlife encounters may be better in some areas as animals get used to higher volumes of people

# Effect: Increased periods of drought

# Potential impacts:

  • Increased demand for water abstraction in the limestone dales
  • Pressure placed on waterways could negatively impact visitor facilities and affect the aesthetics of rivers and streams that people want to visit
  • Some affected areas may become less desirable to visit or have issues with visitor capacity
  • Erosion rates of peat in the high open moorland coupled with changes to plant composition may alter desirability for recreational use in some areas
  • Visual changes may be prominent in lowland pastoral landscapes, limestone dales and woodlands
  • Wildlife inhabiting these landscapes could be affected, with some species being lost or temporarily moving elsewhere in search for water
  • Aesthetics may change but the overall tranquillity and dark night skies are unlikely to be affected

# Climate projection: Combined effects

# Effect: Land use change

# Potential impacts:

  • Farming economics may bring about shifts in stocking levels and management techniques which could change the landscape character and alter the visitor experience and sense of escape

# Effect: Increased threat from pathogens and pests

# Potential impacts:

  • The effect of ash dieback disease in woodlands may be accelerated due to increased stress
  • Other plant diseases such as Phytophthora may become more prevalent, placing the long-term health and diversity of some habitats at risk
  • Landscape aesthetics may be altered as trees and hedgerows are lost or damaged

# Effect: Climate change adaptation and mitigation efforts increase

# Potential impacts:

  • Increased pressure for the introduction of renewable energy sources such as wind farms, solar panels and hydro electric generators.
  • Noise levels and visual impact could affect the visitor experience
  • Woodland planting may be used to increase carbon sequestration and to aid flood management
  • Moorland restoration efforts in the Dark Peak and South West Peak may be in higher demand to reduce flood risk downstream
  • Moorland and woodland habitats would be enhanced, providing spaces that are more resilient and enabling visitors to enjoy tranquillity and dark night skies

# Climate projection: Hotter summers

# Effect: Higher visitor numbers

# Potential impacts:

  • Increased visitor pressure on infrastructure at popular locations
  • Some areas are likely to lose their calm, quiet atmosphere at peak times
  • Reduction of sense of wilderness that attracts many visitors in the first place
  • Increased recreational pressure near waterways and under trees as people seek cool and shaded places
  • Opportunities for more outdoor events
  • Larger numbers of cars and changes to lighting could affect light pollution levels reducing the quality of dark night skies

# Climate projection: Increased storm events

# Effect: Intense rainfall, strong winds, and flooding

# Potential impacts:

  • Erosion may damage abandoned places of industry such as mining features, and moorland edges in the uplands
  • Wind throw damage to woodlands
  • Visitor access and outdoor events affected
  • Changes to landscape aesthetics and visitor access could affect the visitor experience and the sense of tranquillity people find

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