Appendix 1: RCP 4.5 and RCP8.5
The tables below show the headline figures for these scenarios in the PDNP through the remainder of this century. Source: UKCP18
# Hotter drier summers in the Peak District
| Time Slice | Increase in average Summer Temp oc (RCP 4.5 ) | Increase in average Summer Temp oc (RCP 8.5) | % Change in average summer rainfall (RCP 4.5) | % Change in average summer rainfall (RCP 8.5) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-39 | 1 | 1.2 | -7 | -8 |
| 2040-59 | 1.7 | 2.2 | -18 | -21 |
| 2060-79 | 2.3 | 3.4 | -21 | -28 |
| 2080-99 | 3.2 | 5.1 | -25 | -36 |
# Warmer, wetter winters in the Peak District
| Time Slice | Increase in average Winter Temp oc (RCP 4.5) | Increase in average Winter Temp oc (RCP 8.5) | % Change in average Winter rainfall (RCP 4.5) | % Change in average Winter rainfall (RCP 8.5) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-39 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 4 | 5 |
| 2040-59 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 6 | 8 |
| 2060-79 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 11 | 15 |
| 2080-99 | 2.1 | 3.5 | 13 | 20 |